Roma Apucarana vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
CCR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIA
4 - 1
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 3
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ATP
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
COT
4 - 0
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
JMA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COT
6 - 2
RIO
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 4
COT
14%
20%
66%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |