Roma Apucarana vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 0
IRA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
ATP
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 4
ATP
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
JMA
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATP
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |