Roma Apucarana vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
JMA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
COT
3 - 0
ROM
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CCR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
CIA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 0
OPE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CCR
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 0
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |