Rodina Moskva III vs Dinamo Vologda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
49.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
10º
36
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
67.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 53 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 47 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 46 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 45 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 38 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 29 |
12º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 24 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 15 |
15º
|
76.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 10 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rodina Moskva III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ZNA
1 - 3
ROM
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOM
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TVE
0 - 1
ROM
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
KHI
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DIN
1 - 2
ROM
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Vologda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FOT
1 - 0
DVO
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
DVO
1 - 2
TEK
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DVO
0 - 0
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKR
0 - 3
DVO
80%
12%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
DVO
1 - 0
FYK
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |