Rodez vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
18º
14º
8
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 63 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 36 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 46.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 4
PAU
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ROD
2 - 0
LPV
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
ROD
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 1
MET
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
TOR
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
UNF
80%
14%
7%
|
76 | 13 | 63 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WEH
0 - 2
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |