Rodez vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
18º
14º
9
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 67 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 63 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 38 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 36 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ROD
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 3
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 4
PAU
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
BRE
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 4
RED
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
4 - 0
TRO
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
LOR
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |