Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
La Roda CF vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SDA
1 - 1
ROD
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 1
GAN
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
GAN
2 - 1
ROD
45%
27%
28%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ROD
2 - 1
MOR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 2
ROD
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SDA
1 - 1
ROD
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 1
SDA
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SDA
3 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SDA
0 - 0
ELG
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 0
SDA
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |