La Roda CF vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 1
COX
58%
23%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
COX
2 - 0
ROD
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
ROD
2 - 1
SDA
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SDA
1 - 1
ROD
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ROD
1 - 1
GAN
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALC
33%
28%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 2
CRD
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ARC
1 - 3
ALC
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALG
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |