Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-9
Roda JC vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
SCH
3 - 1
RJC
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
RJC
1 - 2
RKC
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
VOL
1 - 4
RJC
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1997 |
FOR
1 - 1
RJC
27%
25%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1997 |
RJC
3 - 0
MVV
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VIC
2 - 1
BRE
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIC
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 4
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
NAP
2 - 0
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
PIA
1 - 1
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |