Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
SCH
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 3
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
UTR
4 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |