Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
RJC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
RJC
5 - 1
ADO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MVV
4 - 1
RJC
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
NEC
2 - 0
RJC
32%
30%
38%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
UTR
3 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
1 - 5
AZA
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 5
EXC
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |