Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Roda JC vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1989 |
ZWO
0 - 1
RJC
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
CSK
2 - 1
RJC
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BVV
4 - 4
RJC
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
RJC
2 - 0
WIL
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
FKM
1 - 1
CSK
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
CSK
3 - 0
DUN
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1989 |
CSK
2 - 1
RJC
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
BVR
0 - 2
CSK
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
SVA
0 - 2
CSK
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |