Roda JC vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1981 |
ADO
4 - 4
RJC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
RJC
4 - 2
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 0
RJC
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 3
PSV
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 0
RJC
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1981 |
AZA
5 - 0
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 2
IPS
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 3
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |