Roda JC U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
7º
7º
17
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 2
EMM
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
ROD
42%
22%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ROD
4 - 0
NAC
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 2
ROD
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 0
DBS
55%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEC
6 - 3
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEC
33%
22%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 1
DBS
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |