Rockdale City Suns vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rockdale City Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 4
BON
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 1
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 3
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 0
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 6
MEL
3%
8%
88%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 0
MCI
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
CCM
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
MEL
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |