Rochester New York vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 5
NER
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
ROC
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 1
ORL
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
ROC
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 2
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 3
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ORA
5 - 1
VEN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
ORA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 1
ORA
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |