Rochester New York vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
WIL
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 1
RIC
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 2
ROC
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHA
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 2
PNN
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
PNN
1 - 5
LOU
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PNN
3 - 2
RIC
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RIC
4 - 2
PNN
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
PNN
4 - 3
PIT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |