Rochester New York vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ROC
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
ROC
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ORA
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 1
RIC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ROC
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 0
DAY
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
DAY
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |