Rochester New York vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
PNN
0 - 1
ROC
41%
24%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
PIT
0 - 3
ROC
27%
28%
46%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 1
PHO
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
PNN
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 2
ROC
28%
28%
43%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
DAY
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAY
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
RIC
4 - 1
DAY
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
NYO
3 - 0
DAY
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
PNN
4 - 1
DAY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |