Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ROC
3 - 2
ORL
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 0
COL
31%
30%
40%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
NER
1 - 1
ROC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 0
ROC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
PHU
0 - 5
NYC
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 1
CHI
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
PHU
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NER
1 - 0
PHU
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ROC
3 - 0
PHU
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |