Rochefort FC vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1982 |
VAL
0 - 2
ASS
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
ASN
1 - 3
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAN
27%
29%
45%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1982 |
AUX
3 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |