Rochedale Rovers vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
12º
11º
42
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
ROC
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROC
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 8
BRI
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
ROC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 5
BRR
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 1
GCK
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WYN
0 - 7
QUE
11%
14%
75%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 2
QUE
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 1
QUE
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |