La Roche VF vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
64.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LRO
0 - 1
NAN
4%
15%
80%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
LRO
2 - 4
BAS
5%
16%
79%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LRO
0 - 2
AUX
13%
24%
63%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
MPL
3 - 1
LRO
89%
8%
2%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1992 |
PAU
2 - 1
LRO
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
FCG
0 - 0
TFC
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
TFC
3 - 2
LEN
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
TFC
5 - 0
LOR
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 2
TFC
28%
29%
44%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
TFC
2 - 1
CAN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |