La Roche VF vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
78.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16.1%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
LRO
0 - 2
AUX
13%
24%
63%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
MPL
3 - 1
LRO
89%
8%
2%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1992 |
PAU
2 - 1
LRO
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
3 - 1
GIR
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
MPL
2 - 2
BAS
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
NIC
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
GUI
2 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |