La Roche VF vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
63.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
MPL
3 - 1
LRO
89%
8%
2%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1992 |
PAU
2 - 1
LRO
72%
16%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
BAS
0 - 1
AUX
21%
27%
52%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 2
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1994 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUX
44%
26%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1994 |
AUX
4 - 0
SOC
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |