EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-2
Rochdale vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
ROC
0 - 2
GUL
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
WIG
1 - 0
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
PLY
2 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ROT
2 - 2
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
LIN
1 - 0
WIG
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
WIG
1 - 0
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
WIG
0 - 1
MIL
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1998 |
WIG
0 - 0
MIL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
WIG
2 - 0
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |