EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-4
Rochdale vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
LIN
0 - 2
ROC
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
CUM
3 - 2
ROC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
ROC
3 - 0
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
ROC
2 - 0
DAR
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
ROC
0 - 1
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
WBA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1997 |
SHE
1 - 0
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
STO
2 - 0
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
CRY
2 - 0
STO
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |