Rochdale vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
ROC
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
PNE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 0
YEO
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SHE
3 - 0
ROC
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
STE
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
LEY
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WYC
0 - 1
STE
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 6
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
TRA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |