Rochdale vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 3
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
FLE
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
LEY
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
POS
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
OXF
27%
28%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 0
SOU
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
MIL
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |