Rochdale vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
GIL
2 - 2
ROC
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
DON
1 - 0
ROC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 3
WIG
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 4
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 3
CRE
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
OXF
2 - 0
BRO
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 0
CAM
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 5
OXF
23%
25%
51%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
PLY
2 - 3
OXF
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 0
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |