Rochdale vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 1
ROC
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 3
ROC
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
DAG
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
OXF
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
3 - 2
OXF
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 1
OXF
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BCF
1 - 1
OXF
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |