Rochdale vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 3
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 1
RUS
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
0 - 1
OXF
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROC
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 2
BOS
47%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
MAC
0 - 0
NOT
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
GRI
4 - 0
NOT
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 0
RUS
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
STF
2 - 0
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |