Rochdale vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
ROC
28%
25%
46%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 2
ROC
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 4
ROC
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
ROC
3 - 0
NOT
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DAG
3 - 2
ROC
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
BRE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |