Rochdale vs Man. Utd U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
IPS
2 - 0
ROC
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
OPA
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 2
SHW
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 1
ROC
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 2
ROC
21%
21%
57%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Man. Utd U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 6
MAN
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 2
MAN
62%
20%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |