Rochdale vs Man. City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 3
ROC
30%
25%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 1
CUM
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
BPO
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
STF
0 - 0
ROC
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Man. City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 0
MCI
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 4
MCI
45%
23%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
MCI
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 1
MCI
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 4
MCI
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |