Rochdale vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
ROC
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
DON
3 - 2
ROC
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
GUL
1 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HER
3 - 1
HAR
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
HER
3 - 1
COV
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 0
HER
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
LIN
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |