Rochdale vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 3
POS
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 3
ROC
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
ROC
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
WIG
1 - 4
ROC
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
BBU
34%
25%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
DER
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 3
CHE
10%
22%
68%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 2
SHW
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |