Rochdale vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POS
2 - 1
ROC
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 2
ROC
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
COV
2 - 2
ROC
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 4
STO
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 1
CRA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
SCU
2 - 0
CHE
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 3
LEY
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 2
PNE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
DON
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |