Rochdale vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 3
ROC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ROC
0 - 0
BRO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
KID
2 - 1
ROC
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
STF
0 - 2
ROC
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
STE
0 - 2
ROC
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
SCU
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
STF
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2004 |
BRO
4 - 1
CHE
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
HAL
1 - 3
CHE
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |