Rochdale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 3
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
POS
3 - 1
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 2
SCU
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 3
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |