Rochdale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
POR
46%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 0
ROC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DON
0 - 2
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
WIG
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MIL
1 - 0
BCF
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 2
SCU
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
GIL
3 - 1
BCF
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BCF
4 - 0
WIG
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +3 |