Rochdale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 3
ROC
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 2
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
DAG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 3
ROC
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BCF
0 - 1
SWI
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
BCF
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 4
MKD
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TRA
3 - 0
BCF
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 1
BCF
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |