Rochdale vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
CRE
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LIN
7 - 1
ROC
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
WRE
1 - 1
ROC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHE
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
BCF
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 1
BOS
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
BCF
0 - 2
TRA
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 3
BCF
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
LIN
0 - 2
BCF
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |