Rochdale vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 1
BUR
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LEY
2 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
MKD
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
ROC
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 2
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
WBA
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
BHA
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |