Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
ROC
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
GUL
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
ROC
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
2 - 0
STA
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
STA
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
STA
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |