Rocha FC vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ROC
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
ROC
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
ATE
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
ROC
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
HFC
2 - 3
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEP
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
0 - 1
PRO
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 2
PLA
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |