Clausura Uruguay Final
Global 1-6
Rocha FC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
PEÑ
34%
25%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
JUN
1 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
ROC
2 - 2
CSM
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 1
ROC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
MWA
1 - 0
ROC
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
DAN
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
CSM
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
LFC
0 - 4
NAC
38%
24%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |