Rocha FC vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ROC
5 - 3
COL
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CER
3 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
5 - 0
ROC
81%
12%
8%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 0
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2006 |
ROC
3 - 2
LIG
38%
24%
39%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
GIM
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |