Rocha FC vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 3
REN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 2
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CSM
4 - 0
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
4 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATE
1 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 1
ATE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HFC
2 - 0
ATE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ATE
0 - 4
SUD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ATE
0 - 1
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |