Roccella vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
ROC
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LEO
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
4 - 0
ROC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
RAA
45%
25%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 3
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
SAR
24%
26%
50%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIG
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
4 - 0
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
DTO
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
1 - 0
VIG
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |